Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.734730 1.882009 2.038320 2.216964 2.415963 2.631371 2.882908
2025-12-21 1.467143 1.660845 1.877900 2.140555 2.451661 2.810724 3.259863
2025-12-28 1.331642 1.555662 1.817098 2.147585 2.558268 3.057215 3.717617
2026-01-04 1.239920 1.485669 1.782078 2.170525 2.673078 3.311067 4.198339
2026-01-11 1.169349 1.431507 1.756726 2.196431 2.785797 3.563947 4.696055
2026-01-18 1.109337 1.383639 1.732405 2.217164 2.887907 3.805773 5.198232
2026-01-25 1.051720 1.333309 1.699151 2.220257 2.962148 4.010955 5.664833
2026-02-01 0.983627 1.263866 1.634535 2.173462 2.959465 4.102043 5.965430
2026-02-08 0.928866 1.208503 1.584605 2.142084 2.973984 4.216055 6.309070
2026-02-15 0.885840 1.166335 1.549673 2.128558 3.011881 4.365893 6.723200
2026-02-22 0.864777 1.153154 1.554066 2.171775 3.137507 4.661342 7.412694
2026-03-01 0.828967 1.116914 1.522878 2.158828 3.173378 4.813720 7.868844
2026-03-08 0.791821 1.077524 1.485798 2.135727 3.193254 4.944663 8.309402
2026-03-15 0.744053 1.020461 1.419678 2.063335 3.127298 4.923787 8.463411
2026-03-22 0.720834 0.998349 1.404560 2.070135 3.192645 5.135694 9.091876
2026-03-29 0.703146 0.983475 1.399372 2.092046 3.284483 5.402224 9.864800
2026-04-05 0.687350 0.970576 1.396305 2.116770 3.382388 5.688230 10.718567
2026-04-12 0.671436 0.956654 1.390720 2.136553 3.472407 5.967193 11.598290
2026-04-19 0.652791 0.937612 1.375927 2.139503 3.531553 6.191159 12.387973
2026-04-26 0.625103 0.903278 1.334964 2.094852 3.498920 6.228656 12.747168
2026-05-03 0.602196 0.875584 1.303509 2.064906 3.491530 6.316125 13.238574
2026-05-10 0.584080 0.854803 1.282425 2.051994 3.515549 6.470552 13.919695
2026-05-17 0.577591 0.852358 1.291432 2.093243 3.647713 6.867389 15.291574